Political Risk Analysis - New Cabinet Reinforces Likelihood Of An Election Delay - 22 MAY 2017
Emerging Markets Monitor May 2017 / Congo / Economy
President Joseph Kabila announced a new cabinet on May 9 for Democratic Republic of Congo, naming a list of more than 50 ministers and deputy ministers. The composition of the new cabinet further...
Economic Analysis - UEMOA Inflation Will See Slow Rise - 10 APR 2017
Emerging Markets Monitor April 2017 / Cote d`Ivoire / Economy
Inflation will tick up slowly in C?te d'Ivoire and the rest of UEMOA in 2017 and beyond, driven by currency weakness and higher petrol prices. Nevertheless, monetary policy rates will be kept on...
Economic Analysis - Balanced Risks Will Keep Monetary Policy On Hold - 10 APR 2017
Emerging Markets Monitor April 2017 / South Africa / Economy
The South African Reserve Bank will maintain the repo rate on hold in 2017, at 7.00%. Cooling inflation and sluggish growth suggests little impetus for further hikes, after the bank tightened...
Economic Analysis - Economy Recovering But Growth Insufficient For Population Boom - 10 APR 2017
Emerging Markets Monitor April 2017 / Niger / Economy
Nigerien real GDP growth will increase in 2017 and 2018 as agriculture production rises and trade improves with neighbouring Nigeria. However, strong population growth means that this improvement...
Economic Analysis - New Harvest Will Forestall Rate Hikes - 20 MAR 2017
Emerging Markets Monitor March 2017 / Africa / Economy
Inflation is likely to cool in East Africa in H217, as a new harvest bolsters maize supplies across the region, tempering food price pressures. That said, crop yields will remain vulnerable to the...
Political Risk Analysis - Rwanda-Burundi Tensions Not Likely To Destabilise Rwanda - 06 FEB 2017
Emerging Markets Monitor February 2017 / Rwanda / Political Risk
Rwanda will remain one the most stable countries in East Africa even as tensions remain strained between Rwanda and Burundi. A solid support base for President Paul Kagame will see social unrest...
Economic Analysis - Monetary And Fiscal Pressures Will Push Bond Note Expansion - 06 FEB 2017
Emerging Markets Monitor February 2017 / Zimbabwe / Economy
Zimbabwean monetary policy will continue to revolve around the pace at which the central bank injects bond notes into the economy over the coming quarters. The likely expansion of the use of bond...
Economic Analysis - Public-Led Investment Will Drive Growth - 06 FEB 2017
Emerging Markets Monitor February 2017 / Gabon / Economy
The Gabonese economy will maintain robust growth over the coming years, driven by public-led investments and supported by rising oil prices. That said, the risk of unrest and strained relationships...
Political Risk Analysis - Dissatisfaction With Regime And Insurgencies Will Sustain Instability - 30 JAN 2017
Emerging Markets Monitor January 2017 / Sudan / Economy
Sudan will suffer from many sources of political risk in the coming years. Multiple insurgencies and public dissatisfaction with the government threaten the continuity of the longstanding administr...
Political Risk Analysis - Trump Victory: Implications For Trade, Aid And Military Presence - 14 NOV 2016
Emerging Markets Monitor November 2016 / Africa / Economy
With a victory by Democratic candidate Hillary Clinton in the US presidential election looking increasingly likely, we expect this will see increased US aid flows to Sub-Saharan Africa and greater military involvement in the region. While not our core view, a win by Republican candidate Donald Trump will have limited impact on trade relations, but would threaten aid and military assistan...
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