Economic Analysis - Credit Risks To Increase As Regulatory Tightening Continues - 15 MAY 2017
Emerging Markets Monitor May 2017 / China / Economy
Any policy missteps by the Chinese government in curbing leverage could lead to continued onshore bond sell-off and potentially spill over to the US dollar bond market, considering the dominance of Chinese investors in the offshore market. Additionally, we expect the number of defaults to rise in the coming months due to increasing refinancing needs coupled with rising borrowing costs and...
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Market Strategy - H-Shares Breakout Suggests Further Gains - 20 FEB 2017
Emerging Markets Monitor February 2017 / China / Finance
The technical breakout of Chinese offshore stocks suggests a bullish view is warranted even in spite of the weak fundamental picture. After breaking through 9,800, the HSCEI has triggered a bull...
Industry Forecast - Upstream Production - Oil - China - Q1 2017 - 14 NOV 2016
Emerging Markets Monitor November 2016 / China / Industry
We forecast a major contraction in China's crude oil and liquids output in 2016, as low oil prices, investment pullbacks from existing high-cost oil plays and natural declines at conventional...
Market Strategy - Asia Asset Class Strategy Table - 18 APR 2016
Emerging Markets Monitor April 2016 / Asia / Finance
Asia Asset Class Strategy Table
Global Market View - Asia Interest Rate Forecasts - 18 APR 2016
Emerging Markets Monitor April 2016 / Asia / Regional Strategy
Asia Interest Rate Forecasts
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Currency Forecast - MNT: Still At The Mercy Of Downside Risks - 15 FEB 2016
Emerging Markets Monitor February 2016 / Mongolia / Finance
The Mongolian togrog is yielding to downside pressure against the US dollar so far in 2016, despite holding firm in the last quarter of 2015 due to management by the Bank of Mongolia, and we mainta...
Political Risk Analysis - Najib Consolidates Power, But Dissent Persists - 04 JAN 2016
Emerging Markets Monitor December 2015 / Malaysia / Political Risk
While embattled Malaysian Prime Minister Najib Razak appears to have continued to consolidate his position following UMNO's general assembly (8-12 Dec), the aggressive actions used to secure party...
Economic Analysis - Administrative Obstacles To Curtail Policy Effectiveness - 04 JAN 2016
Emerging Markets Monitor December 2015 / Indonesia / Economy
Although the pro-reform Jokowi administration has been actively trying to reduce bureaucratic red tape and boost investor confidence, political infighting due to vested interest and nationalistic...
Economic Analysis - Key Themes For 2016 - 04 JAN 2016
Emerging Markets Monitor December 2015 / Asia / Economy
2016 will be a year fraught with risks for Asia as China's slowdown continues and developed economies in the EU, along with Japan, are set for continued mediocrity. A key variable will be the US...