Currency Forecast - COP: Modest Appreciation As Oil Prices Rise - 10 JULY 2017
Emerging Markets Monitor July 2017 / Colombia / Economy
The Colombian peso is likely to consolidate in a weaker trading range in the coming weeks following a break of key support in light of recent oil price weakness. That said, we remain relatively...
Currency Forecast - COP: Further Upside Ahead Alongside Oil - 10 APR 2017
Emerging Markets Monitor April 2017 / Colombia / Economy
The Colombian peso will continue to strengthen over the coming months, likely moving into a stronger trading range following a break of key resistance. Rising oil prices and still-high real yields...
Economic Analysis - Hiking Cycle To Continue Amid Growing Inflation Concerns - 12 OCT 2015
Emerging Markets Monitor October 2015 / Colombia / Economy
Colombian officials will continue a gradual tightening of monetary policy in the coming quarters. While the country will continue to face headwinds to economic growth, rising inflation expectations will be the primary driver of policymakers' monetary policy decisions over the medium term.
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Economic Analysis - Elevated Inflation To Spur Hike Before End-2015 - 28 SEPT 2015
Emerging Markets Monitor September 2015 / Colombia / Economy
Persistent peso weakness in Colombia will feed through to continued upward pressure on prices in the coming months, keeping inflation expectations elevated. Coupled with the bank's concern over...
Currency Forecast - Struggling Oil Sector To Weigh On Peso - 20 OCT 2014
Emerging Markets Monitor October 2014 / Colombia / Economy
US dollar strength will continue to weigh on the Colombian peso, keeping the currency on a broadly depreciatory trajectory through end-2015. While the currency will rebound modestly thereafter...
Market Strategy - COP Weakness Has Further To Run - 15 SEPT 2014
Emerging Markets Monitor September 2014 / Colombia / Economy
Our view for Colombian peso weakness has played out even more rapidly than we initially expected, and we believe the unit is poised for further depreciation in the weeks ahead.
Economic Analysis - COP: Weakness To Persist In H114, Modest Strength In H214 - 03 MAR 2014
Emerging Markets Monitor February 2014 / Colombia / Economy
We expect the Colombian peso to sustain its recent weakness in the next few months, following a key break of support at COP2,000/US$ in late January. The unit is trading at COP2,052/US$ as of...