Political Risk Analysis - Dos Santos To Depart, But Little Policy Change Post-Election - 21 AUG 2017
Emerging Markets Monitor August 2017 / Angola / Political Risk
Angola's governing MPLA is on course to retain its majority in the August 23 legislative election, a vote that is set to also usher in the country's first new president in over 37 years as Jose...
Economic Analysis - New Crown Prince And Austerity Rollbacks A Boon For Growth - 24 JULY 2017
Emerging Markets Monitor July 2017 / Saudi Arabia / Economy
The elevation of Mohammed bin Salman to Crown Prince and the concomitant easing of fiscal consolidation in Saudi Arabia will support business and consumer confidence over the coming quarters, boost...
Political Risk Analysis - New Cabinet Reinforces Likelihood Of An Election Delay - 22 MAY 2017
Emerging Markets Monitor May 2017 / Congo / Economy
President Joseph Kabila announced a new cabinet on May 9 for Democratic Republic of Congo, naming a list of more than 50 ministers and deputy ministers. The composition of the new cabinet further...
Economic Analysis - Austerity Measures To Lower Debt Ratio From 2018 - 22 MAY 2017
Emerging Markets Monitor May 2017 / Jordan / Economy
Jordan's public debt will reduce as a proportion of GDP from 2018 onwards, as austerity measures and sizeable foreign aid inflows improve the kingdom's fiscal balance. A shift towards reliance on...
Political Risk Analysis - Property Tax Implementation A Test Of Government Will - 22 MAY 2017
Emerging Markets Monitor May 2017 / Trinidad & Tobago / Political Risk
Trinidad & Tobago's reintroduction of property taxes will be test of the government's will to pursue fiscal consolidation. Though likely to prompt opposition, the effort will be key to...
Political Risk Analysis - Rouhani To Win Re-Election In Presidential Vote - 10 APR 2017
Emerging Markets Monitor April 2017 / Iran / Economy
Incumbent Iranian President Hassan Rouhani will win re-election on May 19 2017 given relatively strong support for his foreign and economic policies and a divided hardline opposition.
Economic Analysis - Aramco IPO: Scenarios For Economic Transformation - 20 MAR 2017
Emerging Markets Monitor March 2017 / Saudi Arabia / Economy
The success of the IPO of national oil company Saudi Aramco will be crucial in determining the economic and political trajectory of the kingdom over the coming decade. As a central tenet of Vision...
Political Risk Analysis - Rwanda-Burundi Tensions Not Likely To Destabilise Rwanda - 06 FEB 2017
Emerging Markets Monitor February 2017 / Rwanda / Political Risk
Rwanda will remain one the most stable countries in East Africa even as tensions remain strained between Rwanda and Burundi. A solid support base for President Paul Kagame will see social unrest...
Political Risk Analysis - Dissatisfaction With Regime And Insurgencies Will Sustain Instability - 30 JAN 2017
Emerging Markets Monitor January 2017 / Sudan / Economy
Sudan will suffer from many sources of political risk in the coming years. Multiple insurgencies and public dissatisfaction with the government threaten the continuity of the longstanding administr...
Economic Analysis - Fiscal Consolidation Measures To Narrow Deficit - 30 JAN 2017
Emerging Markets Monitor January 2017 / Jordan / Economy
Fiscal consolidation measures will lead to a reduction in Jordan's budget deficit over the coming quarters. Government debt levels will peak in 2017, as ongoing reforms facilitate a gradual reducti...