Economic Analysis - KES: Increasing Stability But Pressures Weighted To The Downside - 18 DEC 2017
Emerging Markets Monitor December 2017 / Kenya / Economy
The Kenyan shilling is likely to see increased stability in the coming months given greater confidence in the country's political outlook. That said, this will not deter the shilling's long-term...
Economic Analysis - Crib Sheet: Puerto Rico Begins Long Road To Recovery - 18 DEC 2017
Emerging Markets Monitor December 2017 / Puerto Rico / Economy
Recent developments in Puerto Rico have increased our conviction that the territory faces a long road to recovery in the wake of hurricanes Irma and Maria, which made landfall in September. The...
Political Risk Analysis - Change In PM Does Not Signal Policy Shift - 18 DEC 2017
Emerging Markets Monitor December 2017 / Poland / Political Risk
We do not expect to see a shift in government policy following the resignation of Polish Prime Minister Beata Szyd?o ahead of a Cabinet reshuffle. Her successor Mateusz Morawiecki is likely to...
Political Risk Analysis - Quick View: Corruption Allegations Threaten Pi?era Campaign - 02 OCT 2017
Emerging Markets Monitor September 2017 / Chile / Political Risk
The attorney general's office announced on September 26 that an investigation into irregular payments linked to the 2009 election campaign of former president Sebasti?n Pi?era has been launch...
Political Risk Analysis - Quick View: Sendic's Departure Bodes Ill For Frente Amplio Coalition - 18 SEPT 2017
Emerging Markets Monitor September 2017 / Uruguay / Political Risk
On September 9 Uruguay's Vice President Ra?l Sendic announced he would resign, tendering his resignation on September 11.
Political Risk Analysis - Quick View: Morales On Firmer Footing As Immunity Remains Intact - 18 SEPT 2017
Emerging Markets Monitor September 2017 / Guatemala / Political Risk
On 11 of September, Guatemala's congress voted down a motion to lift President Jimmy Morales's immunity from prosecution related to allegations of illicit campaign financing during the 2015 elect...
Political Risk Analysis - Dos Santos To Depart, But Little Policy Change Post-Election - 21 AUG 2017
Emerging Markets Monitor August 2017 / Angola / Political Risk
Angola's governing MPLA is on course to retain its majority in the August 23 legislative election, a vote that is set to also usher in the country's first new president in over 37 years as Jose...
Economic Analysis - New Crown Prince And Austerity Rollbacks A Boon For Growth - 24 JULY 2017
Emerging Markets Monitor July 2017 / Saudi Arabia / Economy
The elevation of Mohammed bin Salman to Crown Prince and the concomitant easing of fiscal consolidation in Saudi Arabia will support business and consumer confidence over the coming quarters, boost...
Operational Risk Snapshot - Sovereign Risk: Diplomatic Standoff Will Not Affect Creditworthiness - 17 JULY 2017
Emerging Markets Monitor July 2017 / Middle East / Economy
Sovereign creditworthiness within the GCC will remain broadly stable even in the face of rising debt levels and a diplomatic crisis. Despite current efforts to ostracise Qatar, the country will...
Political Risk Analysis - New Cabinet Reinforces Likelihood Of An Election Delay - 22 MAY 2017
Emerging Markets Monitor May 2017 / Congo / Economy
President Joseph Kabila announced a new cabinet on May 9 for Democratic Republic of Congo, naming a list of more than 50 ministers and deputy ministers. The composition of the new cabinet further...