Economic Analysis - Unorthodox Financing Plan Will Raise Political Risk - 02 OCT 2017
Emerging Markets Monitor September 2017 / Algeria / Economy
The reappointment of Ahmed Ouyahia as prime minister of Algeria, and the launch of a new economic plan, signals that that the government will strive harder to cut spending in a bid to narrow its...
Economic Analysis - Successful Bond Issuance Points To Retention Of Investor Confidence - 02 OCT 2017
Emerging Markets Monitor September 2017 / Bahrain / Economy
Bahrain's fiscal position will deteriorate further over the coming years, as large budget shortfalls lead to sharp increases in public debt. Manama's successful international bond issuance on...
Economic Analysis - Higher Deficit On Lower Oil Production, But Little Risk Of Fiscal Crisis - 18 SEPT 2017
Emerging Markets Monitor September 2017 / Kuwait / Economy
Kuwait's fiscal deficit will narrow at a slower pace than we initially anticipated over FY2017/18, as OPEC-initiated cuts to oil production weigh on government revenue growth. Despite this, risks...
Economic Analysis - Election To Bring Even More Conservative Fiscal Path - 18 SEPT 2017
Emerging Markets Monitor September 2017 / Czech Republic / Economy
Andrej Babis, leader of the anti-establishment party Action of Dissatisfied Citizens (ANO), will likely win the most seats in the parliamentary elections in October, and his government will focus...
Economic Analysis - New Crown Prince And Austerity Rollbacks A Boon For Growth - 24 JULY 2017
Emerging Markets Monitor July 2017 / Saudi Arabia / Economy
The elevation of Mohammed bin Salman to Crown Prince and the concomitant easing of fiscal consolidation in Saudi Arabia will support business and consumer confidence over the coming quarters, boost...
Economic Analysis - Quick View: New PM's Fiscal Overhaul Raises Red Flags - 10 JULY 2017
Emerging Markets Monitor July 2017 / Romania / Economy
Romania's parliament endorsed the new cabinet of Prime Minister Mihai Tudose with 275 votes to 102 on June 29.
Economic Analysis - Q1 Pace Of Deficit Reduction Will Not Be Sustained - 22 MAY 2017
Emerging Markets Monitor May 2017 / Saudi Arabia / Economy
Saudi Arabia's Q1 budget performance underpins our view for easing fiscal pressures in 2017 and for continued effort to improve the management of public finances. However, the pace of deficit...
Economic Analysis - Austerity Measures To Lower Debt Ratio From 2018 - 22 MAY 2017
Emerging Markets Monitor May 2017 / Jordan / Economy
Jordan's public debt will reduce as a proportion of GDP from 2018 onwards, as austerity measures and sizeable foreign aid inflows improve the kingdom's fiscal balance. A shift towards reliance on...
Political Risk Analysis - Rouhani To Win Re-Election In Presidential Vote - 10 APR 2017
Emerging Markets Monitor April 2017 / Iran / Economy
Incumbent Iranian President Hassan Rouhani will win re-election on May 19 2017 given relatively strong support for his foreign and economic policies and a divided hardline opposition.
Economic Analysis - Fiscal Reform Underway, But Budget Deficits Until 2020 - 10 APR 2017
Emerging Markets Monitor April 2017 / Saudi Arabia / Economy
The Saudi government will continue to undertake fiscal reform over the coming years, in an attempt to diversify government revenues and boost investor confidence in the kingdom. Combined with...