Economic Analysis - New Crown Prince And Austerity Rollbacks A Boon For Growth - 24 JULY 2017
Emerging Markets Monitor July 2017 / Saudi Arabia / Economy
The elevation of Mohammed bin Salman to Crown Prince and the concomitant easing of fiscal consolidation in Saudi Arabia will support business and consumer confidence over the coming quarters, boost...
Economic Analysis - Quick View: New PM's Fiscal Overhaul Raises Red Flags - 10 JULY 2017
Emerging Markets Monitor July 2017 / Romania / Economy
Romania's parliament endorsed the new cabinet of Prime Minister Mihai Tudose with 275 votes to 102 on June 29.
Economic Analysis - Austerity Measures To Lower Debt Ratio From 2018 - 22 MAY 2017
Emerging Markets Monitor May 2017 / Jordan / Economy
Jordan's public debt will reduce as a proportion of GDP from 2018 onwards, as austerity measures and sizeable foreign aid inflows improve the kingdom's fiscal balance. A shift towards reliance on...
Economic Analysis - Q1 Pace Of Deficit Reduction Will Not Be Sustained - 22 MAY 2017
Emerging Markets Monitor May 2017 / Saudi Arabia / Economy
Saudi Arabia's Q1 budget performance underpins our view for easing fiscal pressures in 2017 and for continued effort to improve the management of public finances. However, the pace of deficit...
Political Risk Analysis - Rouhani To Win Re-Election In Presidential Vote - 10 APR 2017
Emerging Markets Monitor April 2017 / Iran / Economy
Incumbent Iranian President Hassan Rouhani will win re-election on May 19 2017 given relatively strong support for his foreign and economic policies and a divided hardline opposition.
Economic Analysis - Fiscal Reform Underway, But Budget Deficits Until 2020 - 10 APR 2017
Emerging Markets Monitor April 2017 / Saudi Arabia / Economy
The Saudi government will continue to undertake fiscal reform over the coming years, in an attempt to diversify government revenues and boost investor confidence in the kingdom. Combined with...
Economic Analysis - Aramco IPO: Scenarios For Economic Transformation - 20 MAR 2017
Emerging Markets Monitor March 2017 / Saudi Arabia / Economy
The success of the IPO of national oil company Saudi Aramco will be crucial in determining the economic and political trajectory of the kingdom over the coming decade. As a central tenet of Vision...
Economic Analysis - BMI vs Consensus: Below Consensus On Saudi As Production Cuts Hit - 20 MAR 2017
Emerging Markets Monitor March 2017 / Middle East / Economy
We maintain our below-consensus growth forecast for Saudi Arabia, as we expect the economy to contract by 0.2% in 2017, against growth of 0.9% according to Bloomberg consensus.
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Political Risk Analysis - Dissatisfaction With Regime And Insurgencies Will Sustain Instability - 30 JAN 2017
Emerging Markets Monitor January 2017 / Sudan / Economy
Sudan will suffer from many sources of political risk in the coming years. Multiple insurgencies and public dissatisfaction with the government threaten the continuity of the longstanding administr...
Economic Analysis - Fiscal Consolidation Measures To Narrow Deficit - 30 JAN 2017
Emerging Markets Monitor January 2017 / Jordan / Economy
Fiscal consolidation measures will lead to a reduction in Jordan's budget deficit over the coming quarters. Government debt levels will peak in 2017, as ongoing reforms facilitate a gradual reducti...