Foreign Policy Analysis

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Political Risk Analysis - Trump Victory: Implications For Trade, Aid And Military Presence - 14 NOV 2016

With a victory by Democratic candidate Hillary Clinton in the US presidential election looking increasingly likely, we expect this will see increased US aid flows to Sub-Saharan Africa and greater military involvement in the region. While not our core view, a win by Republican candidate Donald Trump will have limited impact on trade relations, but would threaten aid and military assistan...

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Political Risk Analysis - Morocco Rejoining The AU: Influence To Increase, Western Sahara Stalemate To Continue - 01 AUG 2016

By rejoining the African Union, Morocco aims to increase its diplomatic reach on the continent. This marks a radical shift from the empty-seat strategy Morocco had adopted since 1984. Rabat will use its newly-found lobbying power to push forward its view on Western Sahara and increase its economic influence in Sub-Saharan Africa.

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