November 2016 Analysis

Political Risk Analysis - Trump Victory: Implications For Trade, Aid And Military Presence - 14 NOV 2016

With a victory by Democratic candidate Hillary Clinton in the US presidential election looking increasingly likely, we expect this will see increased US aid flows to Sub-Saharan Africa and greater military involvement in the region. While not our core view, a win by Republican candidate Donald Trump will have limited impact on trade relations, but would threaten aid and military assistan...