Economic Analysis - Key Themes For 2018 - 01 JAN 2018
Emerging Markets Monitor December 2017 / Global / Economy
Key global themes that BMI expects to play out in 2018 include a divergence between developed and emerging market economic growth, US-led conflict over trade and potentially with North Korea, and a regulatory backlash over disruptive technologies.
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Economic Analysis - KES: Increasing Stability But Pressures Weighted To The Downside - 18 DEC 2017
Emerging Markets Monitor December 2017 / Kenya / Economy
The Kenyan shilling is likely to see increased stability in the coming months given greater confidence in the country's political outlook. That said, this will not deter the shilling's long-term...
Political Risk Analysis - Expropriation Reinforces Investment Risks - 02 OCT 2017
Emerging Markets Monitor September 2017 / Tanzania / Political Risk
A recent dispute between the Tanzanian government and the London-listed mining company Petra Diamonds highlights the challenging operating environment in Tanzania. This will further weaken the...
Political Risk Analysis - Quick View: Corruption Allegations Threaten Pi?era Campaign - 02 OCT 2017
Emerging Markets Monitor September 2017 / Chile / Political Risk
The attorney general's office announced on September 26 that an investigation into irregular payments linked to the 2009 election campaign of former president Sebasti?n Pi?era has been launch...
Economic Analysis - Unorthodox Financing Plan Will Raise Political Risk - 02 OCT 2017
Emerging Markets Monitor September 2017 / Algeria / Economy
The reappointment of Ahmed Ouyahia as prime minister of Algeria, and the launch of a new economic plan, signals that that the government will strive harder to cut spending in a bid to narrow its...
Political Risk Analysis - Quick View: Sendic's Departure Bodes Ill For Frente Amplio Coalition - 18 SEPT 2017
Emerging Markets Monitor September 2017 / Uruguay / Political Risk
On September 9 Uruguay's Vice President Ra?l Sendic announced he would resign, tendering his resignation on September 11.
Political Risk Analysis - Quick View: Morales On Firmer Footing As Immunity Remains Intact - 18 SEPT 2017
Emerging Markets Monitor September 2017 / Guatemala / Political Risk
On 11 of September, Guatemala's congress voted down a motion to lift President Jimmy Morales's immunity from prosecution related to allegations of illicit campaign financing during the 2015 elect...
Political Risk Analysis - Dos Santos To Depart, But Little Policy Change Post-Election - 21 AUG 2017
Emerging Markets Monitor August 2017 / Angola / Political Risk
Angola's governing MPLA is on course to retain its majority in the August 23 legislative election, a vote that is set to also usher in the country's first new president in over 37 years as Jose...
Economic Analysis - Pension Reform Calms Political Uncertainty As IMF Loan Disbursal Nears - 24 JULY 2017
Emerging Markets Monitor July 2017 / Ukraine / Economy
Having passed the crucial pension reform, political uncertainty regarding Ukraine's structural reform commitment and potential early elections will subside over the coming quarters. Additionally...
Political Risk Analysis - Failing National Dialogue Leaves South Sudan With Few Options - 24 JULY 2017
Emerging Markets Monitor July 2017 / South Sudan / Economy
The failure of opposition factions to participate in South Sudan's government-led National Dialogue will leave few options for renewed implementation of the 2015 peace deal. Going forward, we note...