Political Risk Analysis - Dos Santos To Depart, But Little Policy Change Post-Election - 21 AUG 2017
Emerging Markets Monitor August 2017 / Angola / Political Risk
Angola's governing MPLA is on course to retain its majority in the August 23 legislative election, a vote that is set to also usher in the country's first new president in over 37 years as Jose...
Economic Analysis - Pension Reform Calms Political Uncertainty As IMF Loan Disbursal Nears - 24 JULY 2017
Emerging Markets Monitor July 2017 / Ukraine / Economy
Having passed the crucial pension reform, political uncertainty regarding Ukraine's structural reform commitment and potential early elections will subside over the coming quarters. Additionally...
Political Risk Analysis - Failing National Dialogue Leaves South Sudan With Few Options - 24 JULY 2017
Emerging Markets Monitor July 2017 / South Sudan / Economy
The failure of opposition factions to participate in South Sudan's government-led National Dialogue will leave few options for renewed implementation of the 2015 peace deal. Going forward, we note...
Economic Analysis - New Crown Prince And Austerity Rollbacks A Boon For Growth - 24 JULY 2017
Emerging Markets Monitor July 2017 / Saudi Arabia / Economy
The elevation of Mohammed bin Salman to Crown Prince and the concomitant easing of fiscal consolidation in Saudi Arabia will support business and consumer confidence over the coming quarters, boost...
Economic Analysis - Quick View: New PM's Fiscal Overhaul Raises Red Flags - 10 JULY 2017
Emerging Markets Monitor July 2017 / Romania / Economy
Romania's parliament endorsed the new cabinet of Prime Minister Mihai Tudose with 275 votes to 102 on June 29.
Political Risk Analysis - Preference For Status Quo Will Drive Mediation Efforts - 10 JULY 2017
Emerging Markets Monitor July 2017 / Kuwait / Economy
Kuwait's need to balance regional geopolitical tensions will see the country's Emir continue to strive towards a resolution of the ongoing diplomatic spat in the GCC. A failure to do so will see...
Political Risk Analysis - New Cabinet Reinforces Likelihood Of An Election Delay - 22 MAY 2017
Emerging Markets Monitor May 2017 / Congo / Economy
President Joseph Kabila announced a new cabinet on May 9 for Democratic Republic of Congo, naming a list of more than 50 ministers and deputy ministers. The composition of the new cabinet further...
Economic Analysis - Austerity Measures To Lower Debt Ratio From 2018 - 22 MAY 2017
Emerging Markets Monitor May 2017 / Jordan / Economy
Jordan's public debt will reduce as a proportion of GDP from 2018 onwards, as austerity measures and sizeable foreign aid inflows improve the kingdom's fiscal balance. A shift towards reliance on...
Political Risk Analysis - Property Tax Implementation A Test Of Government Will - 22 MAY 2017
Emerging Markets Monitor May 2017 / Trinidad & Tobago / Political Risk
Trinidad & Tobago's reintroduction of property taxes will be test of the government's will to pursue fiscal consolidation. Though likely to prompt opposition, the effort will be key to...
Political Risk Analysis - Rouhani To Win Re-Election In Presidential Vote - 10 APR 2017
Emerging Markets Monitor April 2017 / Iran / Economy
Incumbent Iranian President Hassan Rouhani will win re-election on May 19 2017 given relatively strong support for his foreign and economic policies and a divided hardline opposition.