Emerging Europe
Bulgaria / Economy
Our outlook for Western Balkan equities remains firmly negative despite Croatia's CROBEX, Serbia's BELEX15 and Bulgaria's SOFIX equity indices all having experienced short-term bounces as we had expected. These three economies are highly exposed to the macroeconomic headwinds prevailing from Western Europe - we expect the eurozone bloc to contract on aggregate by 0.3% in real terms...
2012-01-24Latvia / Economy
We expect moves by the Latvian central bank to shore up growth will have little real impact on forestalling a slowdown in economic growth in 2012. The Bank of Latvia's decision on Thursday...
2012-01-20Turkey / Economy
Following a torrid 2011 in which the Turkish lira depreciated more than 20% against the US dollar, the currency has enjoyed a reversal of fortunes in the first few weeks of January....
2012-01-19Analysis On Fixed Income, Fx & Equity Markets
Bulgaria
Our outlook for Western Balkan equities remains firmly negative despite Croatia's CROBEX, Serbia's BELEX15 and Bulgaria's SOFIX equity indices all having experienced short-term bounces...
2012-01-24Latvia
We expect moves by the Latvian central bank to shore up growth will have little real impact on forestalling a slowdown in economic growth in 2012. The Bank of Latvia's decision on Thursday...
2012-01-20Hungary
The major factors underlying our current market strategy across emerging European asset classes are perhaps, more than ever, policy driven. With the ongoing eurozone sovereign debt...
2012-01-19Hungary
We expect the Hungarian forint to outperform its emerging European peers in terms of total return performance against the euro in 2012. Conversely, we expect mounting headwinds to the...
2012-01-18Emerging Europe is the most highly exposed emerging market region in the world to the rapidly escalating sovereign debt crisis and increasing risks of economic stagnation (if not recession)...
2011-11-04Bosnia-Herzegovina
Sovereign risk in emerging Europe has improved marginally since our last Sovereign Risk Rating update in March. The mean Sovereign Risk Rating (SRR) score for the 17 rated countries...
2011-06-17Bosnia-Herzegovina
The rebound in Emerging Europe's sovereign risk rating continues to lose its momentum as a challenging external economic climate and major fiscal shortfalls keep 'ability to pay' scores...
2010-09-30Bosnia-Herzegovina
Emerging Europe's Sovereign Risk Ratings saw only a modest uptick this quarter, as growing concerns surrounding a possible slowdown in H210 and 2011 weigh on the region's aggregate...
2010-05-27Turkey
Following a torrid 2011 in which the Turkish lira depreciated more than 20% against the US dollar, the currency has enjoyed a reversal of fortunes in the first few weeks of January....
2012-01-19United Kingdom
The British pound has trended lower since Q211 and is currently testing support at US$1.5300/GBP. Much of the recent sterling weakness has materialised on the back of a stronger dollar...
2012-01-17Czech Republic
We expect the Czech koruna to remain under pressure in the coming months on the back of high uncertainty surrounding the eurozone sovereign debt crisis, which has translated to sustained...
2012-01-09Romania
On the back of elevated investor risk aversion, due to the ongoing eurozone sovereign debt crisis, the Romanian leu weakened substantially through the course of 2011 depreciating 6.7%...
2011-12-14
