Analysis and market intelligence on fixed income, forex and equities in Asia, EMEA and Latin America

Latin America


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Argentina / Economy

Our latest round of BMI's Sovereign Risk Rating (SRR) update for Latin America and the Caribbean region reveals that investor perceptions of governments' creditworthiness generally align with our own assessment of default risk. There are, of course, several exceptions which we feel our forward-looking assessment of a sovereign's ability and willingness to pay captures.

2013-05-15

Argentina / Economy

Despite the recent protestations of the Argentine government, we maintain that the country is headed for a currency devaluation this year. Indeed, growing demand for dollars, as measured... 2013-05-08


Argentina / Economy

Argentina's Merval equity index has rallied 30.3% in US dollar terms in 2013, in line with our expectations for continued strong gains (see our online service, February 6, 'Merval To... 2013-05-07


Analysis On Fixed Income, Fx & Equity Markets

Argentina

Despite the recent protestations of the Argentine government, we maintain that the country is headed for a currency devaluation this year. Indeed, growing demand for dollars, as measured... 2013-05-08


Argentina

Argentina's Merval equity index has rallied 30.3% in US dollar terms in 2013, in line with our expectations for continued strong gains (see our online service, February 6, 'Merval To... 2013-05-07


Brazil

An ongoing decline in interest rate expectations in Brazil is placing growing downside pressure on the exchange rate, which could correct sharply in the near term. Although we continue... 2013-05-03


Argentina

We see three discrete events that could instigate a short-term run-up in the share price of the American depositary receipt (ADR) for Argentina's state-owned oil and gas firm YPF. That... 2013-04-29

BMI Sovereign Ratings

Argentina

Our latest round of BMI's Sovereign Risk Rating (SRR) update for Latin America and the Caribbean region reveals that investor perceptions of governments' creditworthiness generally... 2013-05-15


Argentina

Although the latest sovereign risk ratings data shows no change in the average overall score for Latin America since our last (October) update, we continue to see 2013 as a challenging... 2013-02-28


Argentina

Even after a wave of downgrades to our sovereign risk ratings for Latin America in our previous (August) update, further macroeconomic forecast revisions have seen us undertake another... 2012-10-17


Argentina

Latin America has seen its overall sovereign risk profile deteriorate on account of recent economic growth downgrades in the region. We believe that macroeconomic headwinds will continue... 2012-08-16

Currency Forecasts

Guyana

We are revising our forecast for the Guyanese dollar for 2013, as the Bank of Guyana (BOG) will allow for greater exchange rate flexibility in order to boost export competitiveness... 2013-03-12


Argentina

We expect the Argentine peso will continue to fall slowly and steadily over the next several weeks. Despite this steady weakening, which has been the norm for the past three years,... 2013-03-07


Chile

A risk to our previous forecast for copper weakness has played out (see our online service, December 7, 2012, 'CLP: Weakening Ahead On Lower Copper Prices'), and we now expect that... 2013-01-11


Chile

In the coming weeks, we believe the Chilean peso will bounce off resistance around CLP476.00/US$, in line with a depreciatory trend that began after the peso hit its 2012 high of CLP467.00/US$... 2012-12-07