Analysis and market intelligence on fixed income, forex and equities in Asia, EMEA and Latin America

Economy / Australia

Key Market Views: Macro Strategy Playing Out

August 2010 | Global Market Views

Our global macro strategy calling for a substantial downturn in Chinese and US demand growth in H210 continues to pay dividends for our 'key market views'. Long-held concerns that protracted asset price deflation and a potential double dip in the US labour market continue to lend to our bias favouring falling interest rate expectations and risk aversion. Our call for a bullish flattening of the US 2s10s treasury spread has further moved decisively in our favour, compressing by another 13bps to fall to 198bps over the week of August 23-27, hitting our 200bps target in the process. With leading indicator

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