Analysis on Fixed Income, Fx & Equity Markets

Real estate stocks across the region have considerable room to fall further, in our view. Due to the property market dynamics in their respective countries, we expect Hong Kong property... 2011-01-31

We believe Bank Indonesia (BI) will kick off its rate hiking cycle starting in February and see a total of 75bps of rate hikes this year, taking the BI rate to 7.25% by end-2011. Over... 2011-01-25

In a previous report, we highlighted our view that there would be a bias for monetary tightening across South East Asia in 2011, in particular Vietnam and Indonesia (see 'South East... 2011-01-24

Latest figures released by the Ministry of Finance estimated Vietnam's fiscal deficit at around VND91bn (US$4.7bn) in 2010, down from a deficit of VND109bn in 2009. The latest figure... 2011-01-21

We remain constructive on Philippine government debt over the longer term, noting that fiscal conditions and inflation conditions should remain firm. In the short term, we favour Philippine... 2011-01-13

BMI View: Following a push through our 21,000 stop on September 3, we took profit on our bearish Hang Seng view at a gain of 2.45%. Looking at equity markets Asia-wide, the technical... 2010-09-06

BMI View: Following the ruling Democratic Party of Japan (DPJ)'s poor showing in the July 11 Upper House elections, the outlook for the Japanese economy has gone from (very) bad to... 2010-07-12

We expect President Mahinda Rajapaksa to remain unfazed by Western concerns about his human rights record. Indeed, with China and India committing investment funds, Rajapaksa has grown... 2010-07-08

We believe the suspension of preferential trade tariffs by the European Union underlines the growing risks to Sri Lanka's balance of payments position. With domestic demand roaring... 2010-07-07

We maintain our forecast that the Central Bank of Sri Lanka (CBSL) will begin its tightening cycle in Q410 as credit conditions turn increasingly inflationary. We are forecasting the... 2010-06-16