Analysis and market intelligence on fixed income, forex and equities in Asia, EMEA and Latin America

Currency Forecasts

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South Africa

Following the push through key resistance at around ZAR8.2000/US$ on May 27, the South African rand has scope to make further modest gains towards the ZAR7.7500-7.5000/US$ area over... 2009-06-04


Turkey

The rally in the Turkish lira since the beginning of March has the potential to run further, with our short-term target set at TRY1.4700/US$. Certainly, the movement of the currency... 2009-06-04


Mauritius

The Mauritian rupee has gained x% since May x to trade at one point at MUR33.00/US$ on May 14. From a technical perspective, key support at MUR32.70/US$ is important, with a break... 2009-05-14


Kenya

The KES80.00/US$ level is providing strong support, and there have been several false breaks of late. Continued range trading around KES80.00/US$ looks likely for the near term. In... 2009-04-16


South Africa

With the global recession to weigh heavily on South Africa's current and financial accounts over the course of 2009, we expect further rand depreciation throughout the year, with... 2009-03-16


Israel

The Israeli shekel continues to push lower, putting our short-term ILS4.30/US$ target in sight. The possibility of a further rate cut by the Bank of Israel (BoI) in the coming months,... 2009-03-05


Angola

Recent trading bodes well for our long-held view that the Angolan kwanza will be devalued. The currency has been closing at the AOA75.50/US$ level over the past few days, while intervention... 2009-03-05


Zambia

With the worsening global economic context weighing heavily on the global copper complex, we maintain a bearish stance on the Zambian kwacha, seeing further weakness in 2009. Our... 2009-01-15


Iran

Despite bouncing somewhat in December 2008, the Iranian rial has resumed its depreciatory trajectory in line with our bearish view and has once more fallen through the psychologically... 2009-01-15


Zambia

The Zambian kwacha is testing key support at ZMK4,700/US$, but given our view that copper, which was trading at US$3,435/tonne at one point on December 4 2008, is likely to head even... 2008-12-04

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