Analysis and market intelligence on fixed income, forex and equities in Asia, EMEA and Latin America

Economy

Dollar Dilemma

April 2007 | Market Alert
Sorry, you must be a subscriber to view this article in full. If you are a subscriber please login.

[
: *
[
: *


If you would like to subscribe to Emerging Markets Monitor and gain instant access to this article, please click here to subscribe.

If you would like to take a trial to Emerging Markets Monitor please click on the trial link below.

Despite the resilience of the US economy in the face of ongoing housing sector risks, as highlighted by the unemployment rate dropping to 4.4%, the dollar is currently trading near what we consider to be extremely important levels. Looking at the long-term dollar index chart, it is clear that the 80.00 area represents major support, with the trendline stretching back some 15 years. The second chart highlights the weakness of the dollar against the euro, with 15-year support coming in around the US$1.3500/EUR mark. From a technical perspective, such levels represent a strong dollar buying opportunity, unless, of course, the