Analysis and market intelligence on fixed income, forex and equities in Asia, EMEA and Latin America

Economy / Serbia

5-Year CDS To Contract To 180bps

June 2008 | Market Strategy
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In line with our core view, the Serbian 5-Year credit default swap (CDS) has broken through a key resistance level at 230bps on June 4, contracting further to at one point trade at 211bps on June 6. Going forward, we believe that further contraction of the spread lies ahead with our short-term target set at 180bps. If a firm breach of this level occurs, we see the potential for a move back to 150bps.