BLOG: Risk Watchdog

Updated daily by key members of Business Monitor International's Country Risk team, The Risk Watchdog blog gives you up-to-date insight and comment from our analysts around the world, covering global financial markets, economic analysis and political risk.

 

Middle East
Country risk analysis, forecasts, rankings, industry research and competitive intelligence on leading companies, covering 14 markets across the Middle East region
Business Forecast Reports
- $765
Read More Bahrain Business Forecast Report
64 pages    ISSN: 1750-2179    Pub date: December 22 2008    Quarterly   
Downward Revisions, Liquidity Squeeze Threaten As we move into 2009, there is barely a country in the world for which BMI had not revised down its growth forecasts, and Bahrain is no exception. The global climate is growth-negative, with investor risk appetite, liquidity conditions and demand for expor...
- $765
Read More Iran Business Forecast Report
68 pages    ISSN: 1474-1474    Pub date: December 5 2008    Quarterly   
External Pressures, Domestic Problems The international crisis over Iran’s uranium enrichment programme continues to overshadow the economy, political climate and business environment outlook. In the last few months the US has extended economic measures against the Islamic Republic, while Iran has defiantly bo...
- $765
Read More Iraq Business Forecast Report
60 pages    ISSN: 1743-842X    Pub date: December 3 2008    Quarterly   
Security Gains To Spur On Growth Iraq’s economy is dominated by the oil sector and so falling global prices in the latter half of 2008 present a considerable risk. The impending global slowdown means that we may not see a recovery in prices in the short-to-medium term. Nevertheless, we expect Iraq’s post-war ec...
- $765
Read More Israel Business Forecast Report
64 pages    ISSN: 1479-6112    Pub date: December 22 2008    Quarterly   
Political Change Looms As we move into 2009, Israel faces serious challenges on all fronts. Politically, general elections in February are likely to bring in a Likud-dominated government, posing risks to peace negotiations with the Palestinians and indirect talks with Syria. Tensions with Hamas are rising onc...
- $765
Read More Jordan, Lebanon & Syria Business Forecast Report
66 pages    ISSN: 1479-6287    Pub date: December 22 2008    Quarterly   
A Challenging Year All Round As we move into 2 009 there is barely a country in the world for which BMI had not revised down its growth forecasts, and Jordan, Lebanon and Syria are no exceptions. The global climate is growth-negative, with investor risk appetite, liquidity conditions and demand for exported g...
- $765
Read More Kuwait Business Forecast Report
68 pages    ISSN: 1479-6228    Pub date: December 24 2008    Quarterly   
New Year, New Challenges As we move into 2009, the world is looking quite a different place, with a new US president and unprecedented financial crisis making for an interesting global backdrop. For Kuwait, the new president is unlikely to mean any substantial changes to security. With his less hawkish attitude...
- $765
Read More Oman & Yemen Business Forecast Report
78 pages    ISSN: 1750-216X    Pub date: December 22 2008    Quarterly   
Oman: A Challenging Year Ahead Oman is slowly reforming some of its key political institutions, with much of the impetus coming from external pressure on the government. The US State Department’s naming of the sultanate as one of a number of countries which had not done enough to stop human trafficking has le...
- $765
Read More Qatar Business Forecast Report
66 pages    ISSN: 1748-2380    Pub date: December 22 2008    Quarterly   
Downward Growth Revision But Stable Polity The global macroeconomic outlook has taken a considerable turn for the worse over the past few months and we now see global growth coming in at just 2.0% in 2009 and 3.5% in 2010, although risks are to the downside. We do not see Qatar as being able to insulate itsel...
- $765
Read More Saudi Arabia Business Forecast Report
56 pages    ISSN: 1470-7349    Pub date: December 3 2008    Quarterly   
Slowdown Ahead... But Not The End Of The World The outlook remains significantly gloomier as we move into 2009 than it was this time last year, with lower oil prices, a crashing stock market, a slowing global economy and concerns over a possible housing market correction, led by Dubai, all feeding through into ...
- $765
Read More Turkey Business Forecast Report
68 pages    ISSN: 1470-7357    Pub date: December 22 2008    Quarterly   
Facing A Recession The real macroeconomic effects of the global credit crunch have already begun to play out in Turkey and we expect a continuation into 2009. Aggregate demand indicators are likely to weaken further dragging on private consumption growth and pushing gross fixed capital formation growth into ...
- $765
Read More United Arab Emirates Business Forecast Report
64 pages    ISSN: 1470-7373    Pub date: December 5 2008    Quarterly   
Property Market Raising Macro Concerns The deterioration of the global economic outlook, tighter liquidity conditions in the Gulf, regulatory developments and rising expectations of a property market downturn are all weighing on our outlook for the UAE real estate sector. All the signs currently suggest that th...
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